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The theory of interest : as determined by impatience to spend income and opportunity to invest it / by Irving Fisher
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APPENDIX

Income Account of Annuity if Waiting is Cost

True

Incoue

Alleged

Outgo

Alleged

Net

Income

True Capi-tal Value atBeginning ofYear

1st year .

$100

Waiting

$39

$61

$772

2d year .

100

tt

35

65

711

3d year

100

It

32

68

646

4th year .

100

it

29

71

578

5th year .

100

tt

25

75

507

6th year .

100

tt

22

78

432

7th year .

100

tt

18

82

354

8th year .

100

tt

14

86

272

9th year .

100

ft

9

91

186

10th year .

100

tt

5

95

95

$1000

$228

$772

the queer sums given in the table, namely, $61, $65, $68, andso forth? 3

To push this criticism to the limit, let us finally consider aperpetual annuity of $100 a year. In this case we shall find thatthecost of waiting each year is the full $100, for the valueof such an annuity, reckoned at 5 per cent, is $2000 reckonedat the beginning of each year, and $2100 reckoned at the end.

3 It may be of interest to note that this error is the inverse of, or comple-mentary to, the more common one by which the net income is the $100 lessthedepreciation. In the first year this would be $772 less $711, or $61,so that theincome is $39. This sort of accounting, when, instead ofdepreciation, there is appreciation or savings, would make savings appearas income instead of capital. This savings, or depreciation, fallacy isespecially discussed in Are Savings Income? American Economic Associa-tion Journal, April, 1908, and The Income Concept in the Light of Experience.It has been the subject of much controversy. Some economists who fallinto this savings-are-income, depreciation-is-outgo fallacy in some parts oftheir system fall into the waiting-is-cost fallacy in other parts. Bothcannot be right. Each exhibits the evil consequences which ensue fromplaying fast and loose with the concepts of capital and income. If wewish to indulge in such a metaphor asI got it at thecost of waiting,we can do so but only at thecost of inaccuracy. Neither of these so-calledcosts is more than a metaphor.

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