Druckschrift 
The theory of interest : as determined by impatience to spend income and opportunity to invest it / by Irving Fisher
Entstehung
Seite
173
Einzelbild herunterladen
 

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY PRINCIPLES

nearer the value of the steel it will become, and this, inturn, more nearly equal to the values of those innumer-able satisfactions which come about through the use ofsteel. These shiftings forward of the values of the inter-mediate income of forest, farm and mine toward thevalues of the ultimate satisfactions to which they lead,combined with possible readjustments in the values ofthese satisfactions themselvesthe values of house shel-ter, bread consumption, etc.will result in a change, say,in the items in the foregoing table, where we were assum-ing a 5 per cent rate of interest, to the following tablewherein the rate is 4 per cent.

Table 10

The Optional Income Streams oj Farming, Forestry, and Mining, asAffected by the Rate oj Interest

Farming

Forestry

Mining

1 sfc vea.r.

§500

$000

$2100

500

000

1900

500

350

1700

4th year .

500

450

1500

500

600

1300

6th year .

500

600

1100

500

600

850

500

600

650

500

600

450

10th year .

500

600

225

500

600

000

If, then, the rate is 5 per cent, the land owner will makethe most of his opportunities by choosing that use amongthe three which, computing from the figures in the firsttable, has the greatest present value; while if the rate is4 per cent, he will choose that which, computing fromthe figures in the second table, has the greatest presentvalue. If, then, the rate is 5 per cent, he will choose min-ing, since, as we saw in Chapter VI, §4, the present values,when we compute at 5 per cent, are: forestry, $8820;

[173]