46 A REVISION OF THE TREATY chap.

I take this opportunity of making a few cor-rections or amplifications of the passages in TheEconomic Consequences of the Peace which deal withcoal.

I. The fate of Upper Silesia is highly relevant tosome of the conclusions about coal in Chapter IV. ofThe Economic Consequences of the Peace (pp. 77-84).I there stated that " German authorities claim, notwithout contradiction, that to judge from the votescast at elections, one-third of the population wouldelect in the Polish interest, and two-thirds in theGerman, " which forecast turned out to be in almostexact accordance with the facts. I also urged that,unless the plebiscite went in a way which I did notexpect, the industrial districts ought to be assignedto Germany . But I felt no confidence, having regardto the policy of France , that this would be done ;and I allowed, therefore, in my figures for the possi-bility that Germany would lose this area.

The actual decision of the Allies, acting on theadvice of the Council of the League of Nations towhom the matter had been referred, which we havediscussed briefly above (pp. 9-11), divides the industrialtriangle between the two claimants to it. Accordingto an estimate of the Prussian Ministry of Trade86 per cent of the total coal deposits of Upper Silesia fall to Poland, leaving 14 per cent to Germany .Germany retains a somewhat larger proportion ofpits in actual operation, 64 per cent of the current